Binge Drinking – Another Case of Language Abuse

The political left wing have always been masters of language abuse.

They take a word with an emotional response like “poverty” which conjures up mental images of starving children in Africa and re-define it into things like fuel poverty and child poverty  which have nothing to do with what the rest of us think of as poverty, but are in fact labels given to promote their egalitarian agenda. (Follow the links above for a detailed destruction of their two types of “poverty”).

Everyone wants to avoid real poverty so people get sucked into supporting legislation that is  aimed at egalitarianism and not poverty alleviation in any sense that they understand it

The health Nazis have adopted this tactic with the term “Binge Drinking”.

When the average person thinks of binge drinking, they conjure up mental images of drunken teenagers, falling over in the street, vomiting on the pavement, shouting, swearing, fighting and causing a general nuisance to people living near by.

Nobody wants to suffer, or see their neighbours suffer, with this kind of public nuisance, so everyone is against this sort of “binge drinking”.

This where the health Nazis jump in. Since nobody has formally defined “binge drinking” they announce that binge drinking is to be defined as drinking double the recommended daily alcohol unit intake. Since most people don’t have a clue what alcohol units are, or what the daily recommended amounts are they just assume that this definition simply quantifies what they think of as binge drinking.

With this clever slight of hand they have converted everyone who is against drunken noisy teenagers, fighting and vomiting in the street into being against drinking more than twice the recommended daily alcohol unit intake.

The health nazis then proclaim that legislation must be passed to stamp out the “widespread problem” of binge drinking, such as setting minimum alcohol pricing levels. The unthinking sheeple are tricked into using  their desire to stamp out anti-social drunken loutishness, into supporting this.

If they took the time to stop to think they would realise that someone who simply drinks twice the daily recommended alcohol units is not what they mean when they use the term binge drinker. By the crazy health nazi definition:

How many people would support legislation designed to solve the “widespread problem” of couples sharing a bottle of wine over dinner or to stem the binge drinking of people like the queen?

Those with a more libertarian view might even go so far as to suggest that adults have the right to choose for themselves whether they think the health risks in sharing a bottle of wine are outweighed by the pleasure they get from drinking it.

 

 

Posted in Current Affairs, General Principles | 2 Comments

The Health Gestapo – “Second Hand Smoke Causes Meningitis in Children”

Today an article appeared on the BBC news site about the dangers of second hand smoke. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-17551568

What amazed me was the quote from Deborah Arnott, chief executive of Action on Smoking and Health (ASH):

 ”There is no safe level of exposure to tobacco smoke and children are at risk of a range of diseases such as asthma, ear infections, and potentially fatal meningitis as a result of breathing in second-hand smoke in the home or car.”

She seems to be implying that breathing in second hand smoke causes meningitis!

The absurdity of this is clear when you understand that there are two types of meningitis, one caused by bacteria and the other by a virus. Unless the laws of physics and biology have been re-written overnight, it is no more possible for smoke to transform into bacteria than it is for lead to turn into gold.

At first I thought this might be simply one of those correlation/causation fallacies that the health Nazis are so fond of. I.e. somebody had found that people breathing in second hand smoke had higher rates of meningitis than those who don’t and assumed a causal link.  This is the same line of reasoning that would observe that more smokers travel on buses than non smokers and therefore smoking causes bus travel!

(The reality of course being that smoking is more common in the poorer sections of society and they are more likely to have to use the bus, because its cheaper than owning a car. The correlation is caused by another hidden factor, poverty)

Looking at the report there does appear to be an increased chance of contracting meningitis in a household that contains smokers, p88+

http://bookshop.rcplondon.ac.uk/contents/pub305-e37e88a5-4643-4402-9298-6936de103266.pdf

However, all of the studies quoted (apart from 1, which showed no difference) pre-date the following study funded by the Meningitis Research Foundation and published in 2006 titled:

Is it exposure to cigarette smoke or to smokers which increases the risk of meningococcal disease in teenagers?
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/35/2/330.full.pdf+html

It turns out that for smokers the probability of contracting meningitis is higher. Not because smoking causes meningitis but because smokers have higher carriage rates for the bacteria that cause meningitis than non smokers. (Now this could be because of smoking, or it could be because of the other lifestyle factors that smokers tend to have that non smokers don’t, including increased poverty, worse housing conditions, worse diet, increased levels of recreational drug use, more time huddled together in high physical contact small groups, etc, etc, etc.)

So what did this study in 2006 actually show about the dangers of getting meningitis from second hand smoke:

“Contact with smokers is associated with increased risk of MD in adolescents. This is more likely to be due to higher carriage rates in smokers than to exposure to smoke

In epidemiological studies that assess risk from passive smoking, exposure to smoke should be differentiated where possible from contact with smokers.

So the truth is not that exposure to second hand smoke causes meningitis in children.

The truth is that, unsurprisingly, contact with people who are carrying the meningitis bacteria increases the probability of contracting meningitis!

Posted in Current Affairs, Uncategorized | 19 Comments

Abu Qatada – When Protecting Liberty is Most Important

His Grace Archbishop Cranmer has an article today that calls for the “Extradition of Abu Qatada Regardless”:  http://archbishop-cranmer.blogspot.com/2012/02/government-must-deport-abu-qatada.html

I am a big fan of his grace, usually his comments are perceptive and well reasoned, but in this case I find myself unable to agree with him.

The principles of liberty and justice are, of course, tested when the person who gains the benefit of their protection is despised by the public and the media.

Unfortunately it is usually under the guise of “national security” or the “protection of the people”  that our freedoms are hacked away by the state:

It was as the result of an alleged terrorist arson attack on the Reichstag building in Germany in 1933 that led to the

Decree of the Reich President for the Protection of People and State

which took away the civil liberties of the German people:

On the basis of Article 48 paragraph 2 of the Constitution of the German Reich, the following is ordered in defense against Communist state-endangering acts of violence:

§ 1. Articles 114, 115, 117, 118, 123, 124 and 153 of the Constitution of the German Reich are suspended until further notice. It is therefore permissible to restrict the rights of personal freedom [habeas corpus], freedom of opinion, including the freedom of the press, the freedom to organize and assemble, the privacy of postal, telegraphic and telephonic communications. Warrants for House searches, orders for confiscations as well as restrictions on property, are also permissible beyond the legal limits otherwise prescribed

Of course the removal of these freedoms did not just apply to terrorists, but at a stroke the rights of everyone were removed.

Where they applied only against terrorists?

Ask the Jews, the Gypsies, the disabled or anyone who sought to oppose Hitler’s rule.

In more recent times the terrorist attack on the twin towers lead to the passing of the ironically named PATRIOT Act in the United States which wiped away the protections given to the American people by the US constitution at a stroke:

Freedom of association: To assist terror investigation, the government may monitor religious and political institutions without suspecting criminal activity.

Freedom of speech: The government may prosecute librarians or keepers of any other records if they tell anyone the government subpoenaed information related to a terror investigation.

Right to legal representation: The government may monitor conversations between attorneys and clients in federal prisons and deny lawyers to Americans accused of crimes.

Freedom from unreasonable searches: The government may search and seize Americans’ papers and effects without probable cause to assist terror investigation.

Right to a speedy and public trial: The government may jail Americans indefinitely without a trial.

Right to liberty: Americans may be jailed without being charged or being able to confront witnesses against them. “Enemy combatants” have been held incommunicado and refused attorneys.

Has the legislation only been used on terrorists? Ask the woman arrested under the patriot act for spanking children, or the couple who were arrested under the Patriot Act for kissing on a plane. Less than 9% of searches without due cause were actually used in cases of suspected terrorism.

“National Security”, “terrorism”, “protecting the people” are always the labels used when the state takes away our freedoms, as H.L. Mencken pointed out:

“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”

Tim Worstall put it very well:

“We get to jail you if we’ve tried you and found you guilty of a crime: something that was a crime at the time you did it. You get tried in front of a jury, see the evidence against you, get to argue against said evidence, have representation and etc. Doesn’t matter whether you’re a former Cabinet Minister charged with perverting the course of justice, a kiddie fiddler or suspected of being a mass murdering terrorist.

We also get to put you in jail if we’re going to charge and then try you but we think you’ll run away before we do…..and in a very small number of cases, if we think you’ll nobble witnesses.

And that’s actually about it. We don’t get to stick you in a high security jail just because we suspect you’re a bad ‘un. No, not even if you’re suspected of being a terrorist mastermind.

Extradition makes it all a little murkier: some who are to be extradited get bail as they’re not flight risks (nor witness nobblers). Some are regarded as flight risks and don’t. But if we’re not going to extradite the bloke as we wouldn’t allow the evidence in our own courts…..extracted by torture we think, thus tainted….then that doesn’t apply either.

It’s tempting to think that with a real bad ‘un we should throw all of this away so that we can all sleep safely in our beds. But, you know, to be really honest about this? I sleep much more safely in my bed knowing that I cannot, on the basis of information extracted by torture, be declared a bad ‘un and thus locked up indefinitely.

Remember, these rules are not here to protect the Abu Qatadas of this world. They are there to protect us, the citizenry, from the authorities.

Which is why I sleep safer in my bed of night: if the rules will protect some scumbag like him then they’re going to protect me, aren’t they?

I much prefer this system to the American one where suspected bad ‘uns are dumped on an island in the Caribbean…..don’t you?”

It is in difficult cases like those of Abu Qatada that the true defenders of liberty must speak out, liberty and justice are not reserved for those we like or agree with. If we don’t defend the rights of those we despise, then the state will drive a coach and horses through our liberty… one hobgoblin at a time.

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Guido Fawkes at The Leveson Inquiry

 

As I said when the phone hacking scandal was starting to whip the unthinking mob into a frenzy, back in July last year:

“The real danger of the phone hacking “scandal” is that this ill considered public outrage is used by the government to introduce draconian legislation to “protect privacy” that will inevitably damage genuine investigative news reporting.

The sort of reporting that exposed Watergate, the corruption in FIFA and countless other political scandals and criminal conspiracies.

Corrupt politicians and public officials everywhere must be rubbing their hands with anticipation at the thought that their murky activities may soon be hidden from the public behind a wall of legal protection.”

I have just read the 2nd written statement to the Leveson Inquiry by Paul Staines the man behind the Guido Fawkes web site.

I just hope that the Inquiry has the good sense to listen to his comments on any future regulatory regime, which I wholeheartedly endorse:

Future Regulatory Regime

 

The public interest is best served by an unregulated free press. The laws of defamation should be rationalised and the existing criminal laws better enforced. The hacking and blagging scandals of the recent past were illegal under already existing laws, there is no real need for further legislation.

The public interest will not be well served by privacy laws which will effectively create judicial censorship. The privacy laws currently being made from the bench in English courts are a travesty of the intentions of the original drafters of the European Convention on Human Rights. They had in mind protecting the human rights of individuals from oppressive states and agencies of those states. They did not have in mind sparing the blushes of footballers caught having extra-marital affairs or celebrities who have exotic tastes in the bedroom or dungeon.

The popular press is in danger of being shackled by privacy laws and “media standards” which are really a euphemism for censorship. This will undermine the popularity and commercial viability of newspapers, inevitably doing damage to media plurality in the long term. The public interest is best served by having the most competitive and open media markets we can devise. The BBC by its size and method of funding is the biggest threat to media plurality with a dangerous dominance of news. It undermines the commercial sector by undercutting it, local commercial media can not flourish when BBC local radio and television is free at the point of consumption to the extent that it crowds out competition.

Worrying about cross-ownership of the media when newspapers are in an existential crisis seems to me to be a distracting luxury interest at this time.

Any future regulatory regime has to consider technological convergence. My daughters watch Children’s BBC on my mobile telephone, they watch the US Public Broadcasting Service’s children’s television shows on my laptop at our French holiday home.

The reality of convergence and cross-border broadcasting via the internet of all forms of content will mean that any regulatory regime will be porous. In the future there will be a regulated sector and an unregulated sector, with the latter prospering all the more if privacy restrictions inhibit the regulated media from covering more and more stories. The readers will go where the news is, the advertisers and the money will follow the readers, the regulators however will not be able to cross borders.

It would be in my commercial interest and to my competitive advantage to see the British media heavily regulated, draconian privacy laws enacted and politically correct “media standards” enforced. All of which would be cheerfully ignored by the Guido Fawkes bIog. It would however be a sad day for press freedom.

I believe that the facts stated in this witness statement are true.

Paul Staines

10 January, 2011


Posted in Current Affairs | Leave a comment

Monbiot and The Intellectual Inferiority of Those With Right Wing Views

This weeks piece of nonsense from George Monbiot in the Guardian is based around a scientific paper that “revealed that people with conservative beliefs are likely to be of low intelligence”

IF the paper were true, I would respond with the famous quote by Thomas Sowell:

“Socialism in general has a record of failure so blatant that only an intellectual could ignore or evade it”

Socialism is rejected by the not so bright because their common sense tells them it’s nonsense and they don’t understand the silver tongued sophistry that leftist intellectuals use to justify it.

However, it’s even simpler than that, the research paper George relies on so uncritically is absolute nonsense!

It is wise to be sceptical of “scientific papers” in the field of psychology, particularly ones that reach counter-intuitive conclusions.

The standard of proof used in psychology is “statistically significant” which is usually taken to mean that there is a 95% probability that the data observed could not be explained by chance alone.

Sounds very impressive doesn’t it, until you consider the remaining 5% of the time the data is pure chance. That equates to one “scientific paper” in every twenty published reaching a conclusion which is actually nothing more than a chance variation in the data.

There is also the specific problem for psychology, which is that psychologists are not known for their love of higher mathematics and advanced statistics: A quick look at statistics books on Amazon reveals a number of titles, just for them, along the lines of:

Statistics without maths for Psychology

Statistics in Psychology: Explanations without Equations

The problem here is that if you don’t actually understand the maths behind the crank handle formulas and statistical software packages beloved of psychologists you can misapply them and create results which look impressive but are actually nonsense.

The final reason to be cautious, is that without a series of research papers, carried out by different researchers, all reaching the same conclusion, there is the possibility that the researchers simply made up the data to further a political view. This has already happened
a number of times in the field of psychology, including cases by some eminent academic figures.

This particular psychology paper has been reviewed by Dr William M. Briggs, Adjunct Professor of Statistical Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York who ranks it as:

“A contender for the worst use of statistics
in an original paper ever”

If you are interested in statistics you can read about all the flaws in the analysis here

George Monbiot adds sagely:

“There is plenty of research showing that low general intelligence in childhood predicts greater prejudice towards people of different ethnicity or sexuality in adulthood”

But of course that is an entirely different claim. I think we can all agree that prejudice and stupidity are linked, without the need for lots of research!

As a Libertarian I don’t have the conservative beliefs which the paper refers to, which are defined as: Social conservatism & right-wing authoritarianism, but we should always be ready to challenge the nonsense of the left, even when it is directed at others.

STOP PRESS, the following infographic, shows the extent of research fraud and statistical errors in psychology papers: (Thanks @VeryBritishDude  VeryBritishDude )

bad science Monbiot and The Intellectual Inferiority of Those With Right Wing Views
Created by: Clinical Psychology

Posted in Current Affairs, Refuting Socialist Articles | 40 Comments

The Jackboot Stomping on the Throat of Free Speech

There are an increasing number of people in the United Kingdom being prosecuted for expressing opinions that other people consider offensive or insulting, or  that “incite” crime.

They fall into several broad categories:

Comments that are “offensive” to a particular racial group:

Comments that are “offensive” to a particular religious group:

Comments that are “offensive” to a particular sexual orientation:

Comments that are just generally “offensive”:

Comments that “incite” others to commit a crime:

Now, don’t misunderstand me, I do not agree with, or support in any way, any of the comments above. In every case the opinion expressed is either stupid, offensive, ignorant, hurtful, or all all of the above. They are certainly not the  sorts of thing that nice people like you and me would say to anyone. But, that’s really the whole point of freedom of speech:

“Free speech is meant to protect unpopular speech. Popular speech, by definition, needs no protection.”
Neal Boortz 

“If we don’t believe in freedom of expression for people we despise, we don’t believe in it at all.”
Noam Chomsky

But why is freedom of speech such an important thing?

Why would anybody want to protect the freedom of people to say things that “incite” criminal activity or are “offensive” to others ?

John Stuart Mill in his classic book “On Liberty” put one case for freedom of speech on the grounds that we risk suppressing the truth:

Today we consider slavery to be abhorrent, freedom of religious views and freedom of sexual orientation to be important, but this was not always the case:

Those who wish to suppress freedom of speech on race grounds should consider:

In the American South for many years, slavery was widely accepted. To speak out against it would have been “offensive” to the majority of  slave owners. It would also be the crime of “incitement”, as this extract from an 1855 Kansas Slave Property Law shows:

If any free person shall by speaking, writing or printing advise, persuade or induce any slaves to rebel, conspire against or murder any citizens of this Territory, or shall bring into printed, written, published or circulated, or shall knowingly aid or assist in the bringing into printing, publishing, writing or circulating in this Territory any book, paper, magazine, pamphlet or circulation for the purpose of exciting insurrection, rebellion, revolt, or conspiracy on the part of slaves, free Negroes or mulattoes against the citizens of the Territory or any part of them, such person shall be guilty of felony and suffer death.

Those who wish to suppress freedom of speech on religious grounds should consider:

In Roman times the ideas of Christianity were considered “offensive”, particularly the refusal to make sacrifices to the Roman Gods. Denial of the Roman Gods was a crime and the whole religion of Christianity was therefore an “incitement” to break the law. (In the Biblical account, Jesus was  also sentenced to death for blasphemy, for the “offensive”, and to them clearly untrue, claim that he was  the son of God)

Those who wish to suppress freedom of speech on sexual orientation grounds should consider:

In 19th and 18th century England homosexuality was a criminal offence and the general population would have considered any comments promoting it to be “offensive” to public morals and perhaps an “incitement” to commit the criminal act. A view of trials and negative social commentary from the time can be found here .The last recorded use of the death penalty for the crime of committing a homosexual act was as recent as 1836

The point being, that views about what is offensive, and what is a crime to incite, change over time. The people of the past were sure they were right, we now disagree.

The change of opinion could not have been made if the offensive free speech of the time had been suppressed.

I can put it no better than John Stuart Mill:

“The opinion which it is attempted to suppress by authority may possibly be true. Those who desire to suppress it, of course deny its truth; but they are not infallible. They have no authority to decide the question for all mankind, and exclude every other person from the means of judging. To refuse a hearing to an opinion, because they are sure that it is false, is to assume that their certainty is the same thing as absolute certainty. All silencing of discussion is an assumption of infallibility.”

It is not just correct views that benefit from freedom of speech. Mill also argued that the only way to fully discredit wrong views is hold them up to the light and expose their stupidity for all to see.

“Wrong opinions and practices gradually yield to fact and argument: but facts and arguments, to produce any effect on the mind, must be brought before it. Very few facts are able to tell their own story, without comments to bring out their meaning.”

Isn’t it less likely that people will be drawn to racist or homophobic views if these views are expressed by their advocates and then roundly demolished, publicly by their opponents?

Aren’t these repulsive views more likely to attract the gullible, shallow thinkers, if they hear  racist, or homophobic views in private and never hear the arguments that show the views to be false?

Historically, this has widely been recognised as the truth:

“A nation that is afraid to let its people judge the truth and falsehood in an open market is a nation that is afraid of its people.”
John F. Kennedy

“Men are apt to mistake the strength of their feeling for the strength of their argument. The heated mind resents the chill touch and relentless scrutiny of logic.”
William E. Gladstone

However,  the public now seem to have been guided by the media to the opposite view where everything from potentially offensive jokes to  descriptions of groups with negative connotations must not be heard. Political correctness has become yet another Jackboot stomping on the throat of free speech.

Making it a crime to use offensive comments about someone’s beliefs, may start with religion, but once that has been widely accepted it is a small step to encompass political beliefs and provide an open door for state force to silence its critics:

If you think that this sort of thing only happens in other countries, you need to shake yourself out of your complacency. We already have a draconian law on the statute book that could have been used to imprison all the people above, here in the United Kingdom:

Section 5 of the Public Order Act 1986, which states:

(1)A person is guilty of an offence if he

(a) uses threatening, abusive or insulting words or behaviour, or disorderly behaviour, or

(b) displays any writing, sign or other visible representation which is threatening, abusive or insulting,

within the hearing or sight of a person likely to be caused harassment, alarm or distress thereby.

So, what can be done to protect what’s left of our right to free speech and perhaps even reclaim what has already been lost ?

We must put the case for free speech as forcefully as we can at every opportunity, we must take to task those who propose criminal sanctions for making comments and we must try to turn back the tide of public opinion to favour freedom over political correctness.

However, we must now do so with one hand tied behind our back, ensuring that our passion never crosses the line and becomes “insulting”, that our arguments can never be thought “offensive” and that we do not inadvertently give the impression we are “inciting” anyone to take any actions.

 

 

 

Posted in General Principles | 3 Comments

Monbiot and Maximum Pay Nonsense

George Monbiot has written an article for the Guardian on maximum pay:
http://www.monbiot.com/2012/01/23/the-great-pay-robbery/

Let’s see what he has to say:

“The successful bank robber no longer covers his face and leaps over the counter with a sawn-off shotgun. He arrives in a chauffeur-driven car, glides into the lift then saunters into an office at the top of the building. No one stops him. No one, even when the scale of the heist is revealed, issues a warrant for his arrest. The modern robber obtains prior approval from the institution he is fleecing.”

Perhaps Mr Monbiot needs to look at the definition of robbery. It requires coercion, violence or threat of violence. It is nonsense to talk of robbery where the robber obtains prior approval. Doing things with prior approval is what most people refer to as a voluntary agreement or a contract.

What Mr Monbiot appears to be saying is that a contract on terms that he doesn’t agree with (And which he is not a party to) is the equivalent of storming into a bank with a sawn off shotgun and demanding all the cash is put in the swag bag!
Which says more about the twisted world view of Mr Monbiot than it does about the reality of the situation.

The income of corporate executives, which the business secretary Vince Cable has just failed to address(1), is a form of institutionalised theft, arranged by a kleptocratic class for the benefit of its members. The wealth which was once spread more evenly among the staff of a company, or distributed as lower prices or higher taxes, is now siphoned off by people who have neither earned nor generated it.

A corporation is a vehicle by which the owners, the shareholders, share the risk of an uncertain business venture. The shareholders appoint the board of directors to run the business on their behalf. They have the power to remove any director, including the CEO by simply voting him/her out of office.

If the owners of the business are not happy with the performance of the CEO they can either remove them or sell their shares to somebody who is happy with the performance. There is no “theft” involved.

Once again George is like  Humpty Dumpty: ’When I use a word,’ Humpty Dumpty said, in rather a scornful tone, ‘it means just what I choose it to mean — neither more nor less.’ He misuses emotive language like “theft” to hide the shallowness of his arguments.

On what basis does he declare that they have neither earned, nor generated it. Was the role of Steve Jobs at Apple of no consequence to the success of the business. Where Warren Buffet or Bill Gates not at least partly responsible for the success of their organizations ? Does he think these people would have been less successful if they had been simply paid a salary, rather than retaining a slice of the business ?

How big a role a CEO plays in the success of a business is clearly a fair question to ask in each specific case, but it is a question for the shareholders, not a question for Mr Monbiot or the envious socialist class.

Over the past ten years, chief executives’ pay has risen nine times faster than that of the median earner(2). Some bosses (British Gas, Xstrata and Barclays for example) are now being paid over 1000 times the national median wage(3). The share of national income captured by the top 0.1% rose from 1.3% in 1979 to 6.5% by 2007(4).

I assume that Mr Monbiot has checked his facts, but so what. Some people have done well, good for them. The hidden implication that they have “Captured” a higher share of the national income, at the expense of everyone else is again nonsense. It is quite possible for everyone to be better off and the top 0.1% still have a larger proportion of this enlarged total.

“These rewards bear no relationship to risk. The bosses of big companies, though they call themselves risk-takers, are 13 times less likely to be sacked than the lowest paid workers(5). Even if they lose their jobs and never work again, they will have invested so much and secured such generous pensions and severance packages that they’ll live in luxury for the rest of their lives(6). The risks are carried by other people.”

I agree, the rewards are not related to risk. Why should they be? Is the pay of a celebrity linked to risk, that of a premier league footballer or a pop star? Is Mr Monbiot’s salary related to the level of risk in writing for the Guardian?

The risk is taken by the investors who are rewarded for the risk if the company increases in value. Wages are determined by supply and demand for skills in the market place.

The problem of executive pay is characterised by Cable and many others as a gap between reward and performance.

The reward and performance are a matter for the shareholders to decide. If a company grows by 20% the CEO can still be a poor performer, if for example the other companies in that industry grew by 40%.

If a company loses money the CEO can still be a star performer, if without his efforts it would have lost far more and gone out of business.

Who is placed to judge the performance of the CEO in the market conditions of the business, if not the shareholders?

But it runs deeper than that, for three reasons. As the writer Dan Pink has shown, high pay actually reduces performance(7). Material rewards incentivise simple mechanistic jobs, such as working on an assembly line. But they lead to the poorer execution of tasks which require problem solving and cognitive skills. As studies for the US Federal Reserve and other such bolsheviks show(8), cash incentives narrow people’s focus and restrict the range of their thinking. By contrast, intrinsic motivators — such as a sense of autonomy, of enhancing your skills and pursuing a higher purpose — tend to improve performance.Even the 0.1% concede that money is not what drives them. Bernie Ecclestone says “I doubt if any successful business person works for money … money is a by-product of success. It’s not the main aim.”(9) Jeroen van der Veer, formerly the chief executive of Shell, recalls, “if I had been paid 50 per cent more, I would not have done it better. If I had been paid 50 per cent less, then I would not have done it worse”(10). High pay is both counter productive and unnecessary.

A few research studies do not make a fact. However, even if we accept it as true that increasing pay does not improve performance. So What?

Salary rates are determined by supply and demand. If the price of diamonds doubles in the market we do not expect them to shine twice as brightly! If the price of oil in the market doubles we do not expect each litre to give us twice as much energy!

If people do exist who can do the jobs as well for a fraction of the cost then any rational group of shareholders will employ them and gain a competitive advantage in the market place. This will force other companies to do the same or be driven out of business. The market is self correcting.

“The second reason is that, as the psychologist Daniel Kahneman has shown, performance in the financial sector is random, and the belief of traders and fund managers that they are using skill to beat the market is a cognitive illusion(11). A link between pay and results is a reward for blind luck.”

I have a lot of sympathy with this view, I agree that the results in the financial sector are largely driven by luck. However, there is nothing stopping investors from putting their money in low cost tracking funds. If consumers believed that fund managers do not influence results and invested on price, the tracking fund with the lowest management fees would win all the business and the high pay would disappear.

Consumers often make mistakes by rational standards and reward things with their behaviour that are not objectively worth much. They buy worthless books on astrology, they pay inflated prices for tat signed by the latest celebrity, they buy bottled water.

However, preferences are subjective, not objective and people are free to spend their money on whatever pleases them. If they think fund managers are good value for money then they can pay extra for them. Even Mr Monbiot has not (Yet?) suggested that a government department should vet all consumer choices to ensure that they are approved!

Likewise if all shareholders want to pay a star fund manager and none want to take the risk that its not all down to luck, well that’s their choice.

Most importantly, the wider consequences of grotesque inequality bear no relationship to entitlement. Obscene rewards for success are as socially corrosive as obscene rewards for failure. They reduce social mobility, enhance plutocratic power and allow the elite to inflict astonishing levels of damage on the environment(12). They create resentment and reduce the motivation of other workers, who see the greedy bosses as the personification of the company(13).

Yes, people are envious of others.

It is not a trait to be encouraged.

Your financial welfare is determined by what you earn. It is not improved by reducing what somebody else earns.

The causal relationship between high executive pay and environmental vandalism is clear only to Mr Monbiot!

Vince Cable has announced four main policies: more transparency, a requirement that companies should “report” on boardroom diversity, a mechanism for clawing back pay settlements not justified by the company’s performance, and granting shareholders binding powers to block excessive rewards. They are likely to be almost useless – or worsePay transparency, while of general interest, can create the perverse result that executives discover how much their rivals are getting, and use the information to demand more.”

Pay transparency to shareholders is a good thing. Self interested shareholders will already be demanding it.

The idea that open market pricing will push prices up, is only true if you believe that executives are underpaid and don’t know it!

Should we likewise stop ASDA from advertising the price of its oranges, in case this alerts Tesco to the fact theirs are too cheap and they put the price up. Utter nonsense!

“The clawback mechanism will be inserted into the corporate governance code(14). This is voluntary, and its existing provisions are widely ignored.”

The idea of a clawback makes no sense. It is like asking to clawback the money earned by Mr Monbiot if the Guardian circulation falls, after he stops writing for it!

Once the CEO is replaced the results from that point on are down to the new CEO. How can you logically punish the old CEO for the performance of his successor? Anything foreseeable at the point of departure is taken into account, anything unforeseeable is down to the successor.

Shareholder power is likely to be illusory. As Prem Sikka has shown, the proportion of stock owned by individuals fell from 47% in 1969 to 10% in 2008, while the percentage in foreign hands has risen from 7% to 42%(15). Why should oil shiekhs care about social justice in the UK?

Why should any shareholder, or indeed any rational person care about the socialist myth of social justice.

“And most traders hold shares too briefly to take an interest in the inner workings of a company. As Rob Taylor, formerly the chief executive of Kleinwort Benson, points out, if shareholders don’t like the way a company is run, they don’t hang around to change it; they sell up and move on(16).”

They can only sell to someone else who does like the way a company is run.  If nobody thought the company was well run, then they would be unable to sell and would need to take action to change the management.

“Labour’s policies seem designed to sound tough but change little. Like Cable, its spokesman Chuka Umunna talks of transparency and simplicity (which are both worthy aims) but not of holding down pay. Labour has based its policy on the findings of the High Pay Commission, which have been widely hailed as revolutionary. I’ve read the commission’s final report, and can find no justification for this description(17). Its recommendations are, to be frank, pathetic.”

Thank goodness!

With the possible exception of employee representation on pay committees, the twelve measures it proposes are likely to make only a marginal difference.

The recommendation of employee representation on pay committees is the most stupid. The market decides what salary levels will be, if they are different to the valuation of the employee representative, so what?

The employee may think that diamonds are expensive relative to water. He can sell diamonds all day long at water prices, but will find no takers for his water at diamond prices.

Nowhere does it suggest anything resembling the obvious means of capping executive pay: namely, er, capping executive pay.So what should be done? The UK government imposes a minimum wage, and even the neoliberal coalition appears to accept that this is a necessary intervention in the market.

Err, no a minimum wage is nonsense and simply drives up unemployment for those whose skills are not productive enough to jump over the minimum wage hurdle.

“So why should it not impose a maximum wage?

I’m not talking about ratios or relative earnings. Various bodies have proposed that there should be a fixed ratio of the top earnings within a company to either the median or lowest salaries. But as a report on this issue by the New Economics Foundation shows, the first measurement quickly becomes complex and opaque, the second creates an incentive to contract out the lowest paid work(18). I’m talking about an absolute maximum, applied nationwide.

If only socialists would study economics they wouldn’t continually propose price caps and floors. The impact of a price cap is shortages, the impact of a price floor is over-supply.
This is not news, this is what thousands of years of economic history have shown.

“Let’s say £500,000 a year, a figure that includes bonuses, share options, pensions and benefits. It will rise with inflation, but no faster than that. If you want to make more, you can invest in a risky venture of your own or someone else’s. If you want to make more money as a salaried worker – in other words while other people carry the risks – you can go abroad, and good riddance to you. Another country, incautious enough to set no cap, can deal with the consequences of your destructive greed.”

So no Premier League footballers, no pop stars, no film stars? All the people in associated industries to be made unemployed presumably?

All the best business talent goes abroad leaving our industries unable to compete with their international competitors. Our businesses go bankrupt and people become unemployed.

What a stroke of genius, Monbiot’s class war, envy fuelled, hatred is satisfied, but everyone is worse off!

 

Posted in Current Affairs, Refuting Socialist Articles | 2 Comments

The Socialist Nonsense of Distributive Justice

The socialists claim they simply want a fair division of the wealth, an equal sharing of the cake for all. They call it “Distributive Justice”

All sounds very reasonable, doesn’t it?
After all who would be in favour of an unfair division of the wealth, or “Distributive Injustice”?

This is however, just another example of the left twisting words with positive emotional content to mean entirely different things to further their agenda, just like:

Child Poverty
Fuel Poverty
Freedom 

The problem of course is that there is no THE wealth or THE cake.
(There is MY wealth, YOUR wealth, HIS cake and HER cake.)

True distributive justice requires a knowledge of how the wealth was created.

Let’s simplify the explanation by considering a desert island scenario.

Five people are shipwrecked on a desert island. They wander around the island together and discover, by luck, a small natural orchard of fruit trees.

I would find it hard to argue that anything other than an equal division of this wealth, found by luck, is fair. In this case I agree with the socialists that distributive justice requires equal shares.

As time passes four of the people are quite happy to sit in the shade of the orchard, spend their days talking, relaxing and living off the fruit, hoping that a ship might rescue them.

One person, we shall call him Murray, wants more from life. He spends his time searching the island for suitable plants to make yarn. After many hours, over several months, of trial and error he discovers a plant and a process that can produce yarn. He sets about trying to make the yarn into netting. It is more difficult than he imagined but  eventually after many long days and nights he manages to construct a net. Then he goes fishing. At first he catches nothing, it takes quite a lot of skill and effort to master fishing with his improvised net, but he perseveres. After weeks of catching nothing he finally catches a large Tuna fish.

Now the socialists call upon their version of distributive justice and say that THE wealth (the  Tuna fish) must be shared equally among the five people on the island. They ignore the fact the wealth was created entirely by Murray and is therefore not THE wealth, it is MURRAY’S wealth.

True distributive justice demands that Murray should be able to keep his fish and eat it all himself, or share it if he wants to, but the decision should be entirely his.

Now most people with any common sense would agree with the second version and that Murray’s wealth should not be shared equally, unless that is what Murray wants.
(They would almost certainly fail to see that this is exactly what taxation does, but…)

Socialist philosophers have a “clever” way around this. They say that there is actually no difference between the wealth found by luck which rightly belongs to all and the wealth created by Murray.

Their reason is, that all people are a product of luck and the people who sat around and did nothing do so because they are pre-disposed to do this by the luck of nature which gave them their genes. Likewise Murray was pre-disposed to work and be productive through no merit of his own. It was the luck of nature which gave him the genes to be productive and the inclination to use them.

Therefore all wealth is ultimately the result of luck and no one is entitled to any more of it than anyone else.

Amazingly, many “intellectuals” find this argument convincing. (or at least a suitably coherent cloak to mask their envy of those more wealthy than themselves)

The implications of this view are not limited to distributive justice and it is in the absurdity of their ramifications in other areas that the nonsense is exposed:

If people can take no credit for their positive activities in the creation of wealth, because they are not responsible in any meaningful way, they were simply lucky in the lottery of nature and received genes that left them no choice, then it MUST follow that you cannot blame anyone for their negative activities either.

The sadistic  paedophile who tortures and murders an innocent child cannot be punished, he is not responsible in any meaningful way, he was simply unlucky in the lottery of nature and received genes that left him with no choice.

The socialists cannot have it both ways!

People are either responsible for their actions, in which case the wealth they create belongs to them, or they are not responsible for their actions in which case we must let all the evils of the world go unpunished.

It seems, to me at least, that a society that cannot punish crime is far too high a price to pay to ease the envy felt by socialists.

 

 

 

 

 

Posted in General Principles | 7 Comments

More Nonsense From Monbiot About Libertarians And Climate Change

I really wish that George Monbiot would do his homework before attacking Libertarians.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/georgemonbiot/2012/jan/06/why-libertarians-must-deny-climage-change

Once again he has set up a straw man, this time its his misguided view of Libertarian property rights. He ignores all the subtleties and complexities of the system and replaces it with complete nonsense that no genuine Libertarian would accept.

Monbiot says:

Let us accept the idea that damage to the value of property without the owner’s consent is an unwarranted intrusion upon the owner’s freedoms.”

Error number 1:

Libertarians do not believe that damage to “the value” of property without consent is an intrusion upon the owners freedom. The value of property is determined by the views of others in free exchange. An owner of property does not own other people’s opinions of it and therefore cannot own its value.

In Libertarian philosophy if a man paints his house bright pink and as a result the value of your house falls then your property rights have not been infringed.

Libertarians property rights are only concerned with physical damage to property.

He goes on with:

“Climate change, industrial pollution, ozone depletion, damage to the physical beauty of the area surrounding people’s homes (and therefore their value) – all these, if libertarians did not possess a shocking set of double standards, would be denounced by them as infringements on other people’s property.”

Error Number 2:

The climate and the ozone layer are not other people’s property, they are unowned. It is in fact the lack of well defined property rights over common resources that leads to the well known “tragedy of the commons” type problems.

Damage to the physical beauty surrounding people’s homes is not a violation of Libertarian property rights (as explained in error 1).

Let us consider the more interesting case of industrial pollution from a factory. This may or may not be an infringement of Libertarian property rights. For it to be an infringement of a neighbouring property owners rights it must pass the following tests:

1. The “damage” to the property must interfere with the exclusive possession, use or enjoyment of their property.

As Rothbard says:

“…consider the case of radio waves, which is a crossing of other people’s boundaries that is invisible and insensible in every way to the property owner. We are all bombarded by radio waves that cross our properties without our knowledge or consent.

Are they invasive and should they therefore be illegal, now that we have scientific
devices to detect such waves? Are we then to outlaw all radio transmission? And if not, why not?

The reason why not is that these boundary crossings do not interfere with anyone’s exclusive possession, use or enjoyment of their property. They are invisible, cannot be detected by man’s senses, and do no harm. They are therefore not really invasions of
property, for we must refine our concept of invasion to mean not just boundary crossing, but boundary crossings that in some way interfere with the owner’s use or enjoyment of this property.

What counts is whether the senses of the property owner are interfered with. Well, when human beings exhale, their product, CO2, also, “cannot be detected by man’s senses, and do no harm.”

2. The damage must be done without the property owners consent.

Clearly their is no violation of property rights if property owner B gives permission for property owner A.

3. The damage must not be too remote. i.e. It must be caused wholly by the action of the polluter or interactions of the polluter with things on the damaged property, without the intervening action of a third party.

E.g. If a factory allows a piece of paper to blow out of its window and that piece of paper is picked up by somebody else who lights it and throws it on to the neighbours land burning his house down, then the factory did not violate the neighbours property rights, the arsonist did!

4. The damage must be done without the benefit of an easement over the neighbouring property.

If somebody builds a factory and the smoke from the factory blows East over unowned  land then the factory owner acquires a property right, via the Libertarian principle of homesteading. The right acquired is an easement to discharge smoke to the East. If somebody later acquires the unowned land (via homesteading) they do so with the encumbrance of an easement to discharge smoke. The discharging of smoke is not a violation of their property rights as it pre-dates their ownership.

So if I build a new factory next to an existing town and without permission dump toxic chemicals onto other peoples land causing them to suffer a detriment to their use, possession or enjoyment of their property then that is a violation of property rights and Libertarians would support taking action against the factory owner.

Monbiot continues:

The owners of coal-burning power stations in the UK have not obtained the consent of everyone who owns a lake or a forest in Sweden to deposit acid rain there. So their emissions, in the libertarian worldview, should be regarded as a form of trespass on the property of Swedish landowners.

Error Number 3:

The damage is too remote, factories do not emit acid rain, it is the complex interaction of many processes, some man-made (Including some factories) and some natural, that cause the acid rain to form and fall in a particular place.

Nor have they – or airports, oil companies or car manufacturers – obtained the consent of all those it will affect to release carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, altering global temperatures and – through rising sea levels, droughts, storms and other impacts – damaging the property of many people

Error Number 4:

In the Libertarian view of property rights the discharge of C02 does not interfere directly with anyone’s exclusive possession, use or enjoyment of their property. (See the Rothbard quote above). Indeed we all breathe out C02 every few seconds.

The longer term damage that may accrue is too remote, unpredictable and the result of many complex interactions by many different parties to be considered a property violation by the CO2 emitter.

Monbiot goes on:

“So here we have a simple and coherent explanation of why libertarianism is so often associated with climate change denial, and the playing down or dismissal of other environmental issues. It would be impossible for the owner of a power station, steel plant, quarry, farm or any large enterprise to obtain consent for all the trespasses he commits against other people’s property – including their bodies.”

Error Number 5:

A simple, coherent, and logically contradictory explanation.

How would climate change denial help the Libertarian position as misrepresented by Monbiot?

It would already be sunk by the existence of air pollution! Even Monbiot’s misguided fulminations do not not accuse Libertarians of denying the existence of air pollution!

He concludes:

Any honest and thorough application of this philosophy would run counter to its aim: which is to allow the owners of capital to expand their interests without taxation, regulation or recognition of the rights of other people.”

Perhaps that is true of the straw-man philosophy I shall refer to as “Monbiotian Libertarianism”, but as such a philosophy exists only in the minds of socialists this conclusion does nothing more than re-enforce  existing misconceptions and prejudices.

 

 

 

 

Posted in Current Affairs, Refuting Socialist Articles | 1 Comment

Council Home Sub Lets & High Income Council Tenants

The government has announced plans to make it a criminal offence to sub-let a council house and to increase council rents for those tenants with incomes in excess of £100,000 a year. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16376455

The fact that this is a problem shows not that council tenants are criminals, but that the state has so distorted the housing market that opportunities for arbitrage now exist.

Council housing is supposed to provide homes for people who are unable to provide for themselves on the open market, a welfare state “safety net”.

Why should such housing be so desirable that those earning over £100,000 a year would gladly chose to live there, or that people would pay enough on the open market to allow the council tenant to find alternative acceptable accommodation and still turn a good profit ?

This  clearly demonstrates that the housing provided as a safety net is far too good for the task!

As usual the state’s answer is not to correct the core problem, but to add layers of regulation and unjust laws to attempt to try and hold back the logic of the marketplace.

The idea that breaking the terms of a lease agreement with the state is a crime (with a prison sentence) while breaking an identical contract with a private landlord is not a crime but a civil dispute shows, once again, that the state’s understanding of what a “crime” is comes straight out of Alice in Wonderland:

“When I use a word,” Humpty Dumpty said in a rather a scornful tone,”it means just what I choose it to mean — neither more nor less.”

So let’s consider what the proposed “solutions” will actually achieve:

If we outlaw sub-letting, then the original tenant will lose the additional income from letting and will move back to a luxury home that was more than they needed. The new tenant will be forced to move out of a home that was worth more to them than the rent it cost and spend more on an equivalent home.

Both parties involved will be worse off, and who exactly benefits ? There is no reduction in the burden on the taxpayer. There are no additional homeless people housed.

Even the injustice of the tenant making a cash windfall at the taxpayer’s expense has not been eliminated. It has just been replaced by the injustice of the tenant making a “quality of housing” windfall at the taxpayer’s expense. We even know the value of this “quality of housing windfall” on the open market, it is exactly the cash amount it was previously sold for!

If we increase rents for those earning over £100,000 to market levels then these tenants will move out. (If you are paying market rent then it is unlikely that this property will be your first choice.) This will certainly free up accommodation for someone else.

But if the objection to the first tenant is “Why should taxpayer’s pay for something that somebody doesn’t need?” Then the objection still exists. Why should taxpayers pay for accommodation of a standard acceptable to someone earning £100,000 a year for somebody to use as a safety net, surely they can’t need such a high quality of accommodation.

Taxpayer’s are quite happy for  their own children (when they are students, or starting work) to share homes to reduce housing costs, or live in cheaper areas. Why is it not acceptable to provide a similar standard of housing to people requiring the taxpayer’s safety net ?

Surely a better answer to both problems is to sell these luxury properties and buy (or build) 2 (or 3 or 4 or 5) smaller properties with the money, in less desirable areas. This would provide additional safety nets, helping more people who need them ?

As a Libertarian I am, of course, against all state housing provision on principle, but if as a country we are going to provide it then we should at least try and get the best return on the taxpayer’s money. This is achieved by listening to what the market is telling us, rather than adding more humpty dumpty laws to the statute book.

 

Posted in Current Affairs | 10 Comments